Valencia's coast goes red tonight, with up to 90 mm an hour.

Classes are cancelled, and up to 160 mm could fall in two hours from 6 PM.

AT THIS HOUROrange from 2 PM, red from 6 PM on the Valencian coastValencia and Castellón go red; orange holds before and after.

WHEN IT ARRIVESRed from 6 PM tonight to 2 AM FridayThe worst falls tonight into Friday morning; Catalonia's orange runs to noon Friday.

WHAT IS ALREADY IN FORCEClasses cancelled; parks and the Turia garden closedEmergency services have been on alert since midnight.

A cut-off low has stalled over eastern Spain, a day after the country's warnings had ended. The whole Valencian coast is under a red rain warning from 6 PM tonight to 2 AM, with up to 90 mm in an hour and 160 mm in two. Valencia has cancelled classes in flood-prone areas and closed its parks, and emergency services have been on alert since midnight.

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90mm of rain possible in one hour on the Valencian coast tonight

Up to 160 mm in two hours; a 70% chance of over 150 mm in under six.

THE FACTS

UP TO 200 MM IN A FEW HOURSForecasters give a 70% chance of more than 150 mm in under six hours, and locally up to 200 mm.R

CATALONIA AND ALICANTE ON ORANGEOrange warnings cover Castellón, northern Alicante and southern Tarragona from 2 PM; Catalonia's run to Friday noon.R

THE CÉVENNES STANDS DOWNFrance's red rain warning has ended with no deaths after about 338 mm; the Hérault stays red for river flooding.R

ALSO ON THE BOARD

AND ELSEWHERE — THAILAND'S CRESTThe flow at Nakhon Sawan peaks near 3,010 m³/s on Friday; about 2.93 million people are affected.R→AND ELSEWHERE — RACHEL STRENGTHENSHurricane Rachel, at 100 mph, should become a major hurricane as it passes south of Baja California.C→

SINCE YESTERDAY — WHAT MOVED

23 systems moved since yesterday's edition · 9 held steady.

✦ APPEARED1

THE NORTHERN MARIANAS — TROPICAL STORM CHOI-WAN NEARS SAIPAN→

↑ ESCALATED16

VALENCIA — A RED RAIN WARNING ON THE COAST TONIGHTintensified→CENTRAL THAILAND — THE FLOOD CREST REACHES NAKHON SAWANintensified→245 MI S OF CABO SAN LUCAS — HURRICANE RACHEL REACHES 100 MPHfirmer→THE SAUDI SOUTH-WEST — FLASH FLOODS AND HAIL THROUGH FRIDAYfirmer→NIGERIA — A HIGH FLOOD RISK IN 17 STATES THROUGH SUNDAYfirmer→ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA — PACIFIC RIVERS OVER THEIR BANKSfirmer→THE RHINE AT KAUB — THE GAUGE FALLS BELOW ZEROintensified→SAO PAULO AND MINAS GERAIS — STORMS FOLLOW THE BROKEN HEATintensified→SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — A STRONG FRONT ARRIVES FRIDAYintensified→UTTARAKHAND — THE CHAR DHAM PILGRIMAGE PAUSES UNDER HEAVY RAINintensified→VICTORIA — A FLOOD WATCH FOR 18 WATERWAYS FROM FRIDAYintensified→THE SOUTH ISLAND — RAIN AND WIND WATCHES FOR FRIDAYintensified→SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS HOLD AT AMBERfirmer→ARGENTINA — A WINDY LULL BEFORE FRIDAY'S STORMSfirmer→LIBYA — THE STORM EPISODE WINDS DOWNfirmer→SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO — A DEPRESSION LIKELY NEXT WEEKintensified→

▽ EASED5

160 MI SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS — TROPICAL STORM NOLOweakened→THE IZU ISLANDS — SURIGAE BRUSHES PAST AND TURNS EXTRATROPICALslipped→SOUTH AFRICA — A FINE DAY AFTER WEDNESDAY'S STORMSweakened→BANGLADESH — THE OLD DEPRESSION FADES AS A LOWslipped→THE NORTH ATLANTIC — HANNA IS GONEweakened→

✓ CLEARED1

THE SOUTHERN PLAINS — A SLIGHT RISK OF DAMAGING STORM GUSTS

HELD STEADYTHE CENTRAL PLAINS TO TEXAS — A MODERATE FLOOD RISK FOR TWO DAYS · THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF — NO STORM IN SIGHT · THE SOUTHERN OCEANS — OFF-SEASON · BRITAIN AND ITALY — FAIR WEATHER · THE AMERICAN WEST — NO RED FLAG WARNINGS · CENTRAL CHINA — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE NATIONAL WARNING BOARD WAS NOT READ · CENTRAL AMERICA — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE REGIONAL BOARDS WERE NOT REFRESHED · PAKISTAN — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE NATIONAL LEDGER WAS NOT REFRESHED · SOUTHERN DALMATIA — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE NATIONAL WARNING PAGE WAS NOT READ

WHERE IT IS — THE BOARD

heatsevererain / floodtropicalfire weathersmoke / airdroughtwinterquiet✦new↑escalated▽eased=heldsince yesterday

hemispheric contrast — Two oceans, opposite records — Rachel strengthens toward major off Mexico, while the Atlantic still has no hurricane a week from the latest first-hurricane date on record..

	SYSTEM	HAZARD	PEAK	TREND	TOUCHES	CONF
1	VALENCIA — A RED RAIN WARNING ON THE COAST TONIGHT BUILDING	water	90 mm	▲ building	4	R
	The whole Valencian coast is under a red rain warning from 6 PM to 2 AM, with up to 90 mm in an hour
2	CENTRAL THAILAND — THE FLOOD CREST REACHES NAKHON SAWAN CRESTING	water	3,010 m³/s	▲ cresting	4	R
	The flow at Nakhon Sawan peaks near 3,010 m³/s on Friday as the Chao Phraya Dam releases 2,300 m³/s
3	245 MI S OF CABO SAN LUCAS — HURRICANE RACHEL REACHES 100 MPH BUILDING	tropical	100 mph	▲ building	1	C
	Hurricane Rachel has strengthened to 100 mph and should become a major hurricane within a couple of days as it passes south of Baja California
4	THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO TEXAS — A MODERATE FLOOD RISK FOR TWO DAYS ACTIVE	water	5+ in	► ongoing	5	C
	A moderate flood risk covers the central and southern Plains today, home to about 15.3 million people, and moves onto Texas on Friday
5	THE NORTHERN MARIANAS — TROPICAL STORM CHOI-WAN NEARS SAIPAN BUILDING	tropical	45 mph	▲ building	3	C
	Tropical Storm Choi-wan, at 45 mph, passes north of Tinian and Saipan and could become a typhoon on Friday
6	160 MI SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS — TROPICAL STORM NOLO ACTIVE	tropical	45 mph	► ongoing	1	C
	Tropical Storm Nolo, at 45 mph, drifts west-northwest south of the north-western atolls, where a tropical storm warning runs from Nihoa to Maro Reef
7	THE SAUDI SOUTH-WEST — FLASH FLOODS AND HAIL THROUGH FRIDAY ACTIVE	water	—	► ongoing	—	R
	Heavy rain, flash floods and hail continue over Jazan, Asir, Al-Baha and the Makkah highlands through Friday, then ease.
8	NIGERIA — A HIGH FLOOD RISK IN 17 STATES THROUGH SUNDAY ACTIVE	water	—	► ongoing	1	R
	17 states are at high flood risk through Sunday; at least 2 have died in Delta and about 3,500 are displaced in Anambra
9	ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA — PACIFIC RIVERS OVER THEIR BANKS ACTIVE	water	—	► ongoing	—	R
	Eight rivers have overflowed in Ecuador, where the Bulubulu swept away 12 workers and 2 are missing; Colombia has landslide alerts in 371 municipalities
10	THE RHINE AT KAUB — THE GAUGE FALLS BELOW ZERO PEAK	drought	−5 cm	● at peak	3	C
	The Rhine at Kaub reads −5 cm, the first negative reading on record, after 74 days below the barge-loading line
11	THE IZU ISLANDS — SURIGAE BRUSHES PAST AND TURNS EXTRATROPICAL EASING	tropical	35 kt	▼ easing	—	R
	Surigae, down to about 35 kt, brushed the southern Izu Islands overnight with 39 mm in an hour at Hachijojima and no deaths reported
12	SAO PAULO AND MINAS GERAIS — STORMS FOLLOW THE BROKEN HEAT ACTIVE	severe	100 km/h	► ongoing	—	C
	Orange storm warnings cover São Paulo, the Rio de Janeiro area and the Triângulo Mineiro, with gusts to 100 km/h and hail
13	SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — A STRONG FRONT ARRIVES FRIDAY BUILDING	water	70 km/h	▲ building	—	R
	A frontal system arrives on Friday, with gusts near 70 km/h from Coquimbo to Biobío and possible tornadic cells in Los Ríos and Los Lagos.
14	UTTARAKHAND — THE CHAR DHAM PILGRIMAGE PAUSES UNDER HEAVY RAIN ACTIVE	water	—	► ongoing	—	R
	Red and orange rain alerts have suspended the Char Dham pilgrimage in Uttarakhand, as the monsoon's retreat from north-west India slips toward mid-October.
15	VICTORIA — A FLOOD WATCH FOR 18 WATERWAYS FROM FRIDAY BUILDING	water	—	▲ building	—	C
	A cold front has arrived, and a flood watch covers 18 waterways in Gippsland and north-east and central Victoria, with minor to moderate flooding possible from Friday.
16	THE SOUTH ISLAND — RAIN AND WIND WATCHES FOR FRIDAY BUILDING	water	—	▲ building	—	R
	Watches cover heavy rain in Fiordland and north-west gusts near 90 km/h in Southland and Otago on Friday.
17	SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS HOLD AT AMBER EASING	water	—	▼ easing	—	R
	Amber landslide warnings for 8 districts held to 10 AM today with no return to red.
18	ARGENTINA — A WINDY LULL BEFORE FRIDAY'S STORMS EASING	severe	—	▼ easing	—	R
	A yellow wind warning covers eastern San Juan and southern La Rioja, with gusts to 100 km/h at elevation; more warnings are signalled for Friday.
19	SOUTH AFRICA — A FINE DAY AFTER WEDNESDAY'S STORMS EASING	severe	—	▼ easing	—	R
	After Wednesday's storms in the north and damaging winds in the Eastern Cape, today is fine and warm, with isolated showers in the far north.
20	LIBYA — THE STORM EPISODE WINDS DOWN EASING	water	—	▼ easing	—	R
	The late-September storm episode, which took 3 lives at Wadi Zagar, is winding down
21	BANGLADESH — THE OLD DEPRESSION FADES AS A LOW EASING	tropical	—	▼ easing	—	R
	The former depression is a weakening low over south-east Bangladesh and north-east India, and no new system has formed in the Bay of Bengal.
22	SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO — A DEPRESSION LIKELY NEXT WEEK EMERGING	tropical	—	▲ emerging	—	C
	A low could form south of southern Mexico late this weekend, with a 70% chance of a tropical depression within seven days
23	THE NORTH ATLANTIC — HANNA IS GONE, AND STILL NO HURRICANE NO-SIGNAL	tropical	—	— quiet	—	C
	Hanna has become post-tropical, no storm is expected for seven days, and the Atlantic still has no hurricane this year

QUIET — THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF · THE SOUTHERN OCEANS · BRITAIN AND ITALY · THE AMERICAN WEST · NOT CHECKED TODAY — CENTRAL CHINA · CENTRAL AMERICA · PAKISTAN · SOUTHERN DALMATIA

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EVENT · VENUEWHENSHELTERTHE WEATHER THERE

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