SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO — A DEPRESSION LIKELY NEXT WEEK

On the board · October 1, 2026 →

EMERGING · October 1, 2026 · NO. 1001

THE STORM

A low could form south of southern Mexico late this weekend, with a 70% chance of a tropical depression within seven days. Far to the west, Tropical Depression Nineteen-E fades.

THE RECORD

53 turning points on record since Aug 16 — the 8 most recent shown.

Oct 1easing → emerging

Sep 30▽ eased sharply

Sep 29peak → easing · eased sharply

Sep 27→ held

Sep 27▽ designation Hurricane — Category 4→Hurricane — Category 3

Sep 26→ held

Sep 26▽ designation Hurricane — Category 5→Hurricane — Category 4

WHAT THEY'RE SAYING

searched 34 vetted voices and the open field — nothing said about this system cleared the screen.

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