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DESK

✈Aviation

Sep 22, 2026 · NO. 0922
THE READ — what this desk must decide today

a Pacific-coast schedule to buffer, a recovering Tokyo network, and near-zero visibility on the Arabian Peninsula

The disruption has mostly happened; the rebuild and the buffer are the work. Tokyo's network is recovering as the system transitions offshore and goes extratropical about Wednesday, with the residual problem being ground access through landslide zones rather than the airspace. The Pacific-coast Mexican airports buffer schedules today against a 130-mph hurricane that turns west-north-west tonight, with rain of 4 to 8 inches, locally 12, the operative figure rather than the category. Jazan, Asir, Makkah and Madinah carry near-zero visibility in blowing dust and rain through about Sep 25, which is a minima problem, not a wind one. Italy runs a widespread yellow under an Atlantic trough. In the United States the exposure is the ordinary one — convective and flood-driven ground delay on a marginal severe day. Who owns the call: a network operations centre choosing between a pre-cancel and a rolling delay.

THE DRIVERS 1–12h — what is driving this desk today
OFF SOUTH-WEST MEXICO — A 40-MPH STORM BECAME A 130-MPH HURRICANE ON ITS OWN FORECAST SCHEDULEPEAK→EASTERN JAPAN — THE STORM IS LEAVING AND ITS RAIN HAS ALREADY BEEN PAID FOREASING→THE SAUDI SOUTH-WEST — A RED ALERT OVER THE AL-BAHA HIGHLANDS, RUNNING TO ABOUT SEP 25ACTIVE→THE AMERICAN INTERIOR — 41 FLOOD WARNINGS TODAY, AND A MODERATE RISK BUILDING FOR WEDNESDAYBUILDING→EUROPE — A YELLOW TROUGH CROSSING ITALY, A CANARY ISLANDS HEAT-AND-DUST YELLOW, AND LITTLE ELSEEASING→
THE RECORD past — how exposed this desk has run

carried on 45 of the last 68 editions — since Jul 5, the 10 most recent shown.

Sep 22A 40-MPH STORM BECAME A 130-MPH HU… · THE STORM IS LEAVING AND ITS RAIN … · A RED ALERT OVER THE AL-BAHA HIGHL…
Sep 21A TYPHOON DEEPENED ON APPROACH AND… · A 40-MPH TROPICAL STORM WITH A FOR… · A RED GREAT-DANGER ALERT OVER ABOU…
Sep 20THE WIND EASES AS IT TURNS ONTO TO… · OKLAHOMA TODAY · FLASH FLOODING WHERE THE SOIL HAS …
Sep 19the line crossed · a Slight risk over the central Pla… · Great Lakes today
Sep 18large · and Florida opened · Marginal
Sep 17named · the deadly rain · fifteen advisories
Sep 16Marginal · the event that moved twice · east of Saipan
Sep 15FORECASTERS STEPPED SUNDAY'S SLIGH… · THE UPPER-MIDWEST HEAVY-RAIN EVENT… · THE FLOOD TOLD TO TAPER TODAY EXPA…
Sep 13A MARGINAL DAY FOR DAMAGING WIND A… · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN OUTLOOK CASHED … · THE ACUTE TIER HELD AT ZERO A SECO…
Sep 12SLIGHT DOWNGRADED TO MARGINAL · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT JUMPED H… · THE DEADLY OUTBREAK HAS PASSED SOU…