THE READ — what this desk must decide today
a monsoon retreat you can plan a harvest against, a flood window over farmland, and one last freeze before spring
The most valuable forecast on this desk today is a seasonal one, not a storm. India's monsoon has withdrawn from parts of West Rajasthan with further withdrawal favourable over Rajasthan, Punjab and Saurashtra-Kutch — a retreat line is the single input a harvest and a rabi sowing window are planned around, and it is arriving on schedule while the heavy rain re-concentrates over the peninsular states that are still in season. In Nigeria, riverine flooding across about 15 states through Sep 25 is a lift-the-harvest and move-the-livestock decision keyed to rain and river rise. Over the American High Plains the SLIGHT risk carries large hail, which is a standing-crop and equipment call with a few hours on it. And in Patagonia the last polar wave before Spring Day puts plateau minima near -10 °C with isolated -18 °C — one more frost decision before the season turns.
THE RECORD past — how exposed this desk has run
carried on 43 of the last 66 editions — since Jul 5, the 10 most recent shown.
Sep 20THE MONSOON LIFTS OFF THE NORTH-WE… · A 15-STATE RIVERINE-FLOOD WINDOW · OKLAHOMA TODAY
Sep 19India's monsoon begins to withdraw · a Slight risk over the central Pla… · the advisory tier widened to 13
Sep 18day two of a published ramp · withdrawal north · large
Sep 17the scheduled release begins today · named · the spell eased on cue and the hea…
Sep 16a scheduled release · the flood that moved north and the… · the Bay low's work done; the next …
Sep 15THE FLOOD TOLD TO TAPER TODAY EXPA… · THE SEP 12-17 SPELL RUNS ON WITH T… · A FRESH NORTH-BAY-OF-BENGAL LOW FO…
Sep 13A FIVE-DAY SPELL ARRIVES ON CUE OV… · THE ACUTE TIER HELD AT ZERO A SECO… · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN OUTLOOK CASHED …
Sep 12THE RED HELD A SECOND MORNING · THE DEADLY OUTBREAK HAS PASSED SOU… · A FRESH SPELL CUED FOR SEP 13-17
Sep 11A RED WARNING THAT WALKED SOUTH ON… · AN UPGRADED SLIGHT · AN EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT THAT RODE…
Sep 8THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT MOVED TO… · A SLIGHT THAT SHIFTED SOUTH-EAST A… · THE RED ALERT SHIFTED EAST AS THE …