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DESK

✈Aviation

Sep 20, 2026 · NO. 0920
THE READ — what this desk must decide today

a holiday Monday over the Tokyo airports, a hail day on the High Plains and a bura pulse on the Adriatic coast

The expensive decision today is a Monday bank out of Tokyo, and it has to be made on Sunday. A transitioning storm reaching Izu and Kanto from Monday afternoon with about 350 mm behind it puts the risk on Sep 21, in the middle of Silver Week, when the recovery cost of a late cancellation is at its annual worst and a proactive thin-out is cheap by comparison. On the American board the SLIGHT risk over Oklahoma and eastern Colorado is a large-hail day — a ramp and parked-aircraft problem more than an en-route one — and the flooding across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic is a ground-access and crew-positioning problem before it is a runway one. On the Adriatic, the footprint's forecast bura pulse to about 80 km/h at the Velebit crossing and 54 km/h at Dubrovnik Airport is a crosswind-limit conversation for Sep 20-21, held here as a watch signal because no official warning is in force.

THE DRIVERS 1–12h — what is driving this desk today
TYPHOON DUJUAN — THE WIND EASES AS IT TURNS ONTO TOKYO, AND THE RAIN IS WHAT ARRIVESCRESTING→AMERICAN SEVERE HOLDS A SLIGHT RISK — OKLAHOMA TODAY, THE APPALACHIANS TOMORROWACTIVE→THE AMERICAN INTERIOR — FLASH FLOODING WHERE THE SOIL HAS NOTHING LEFT TO TAKEACTIVE→THE SOUTH-DALMATIAN COAST — A TWO-DAY TEMPERATURE PEAK WITH A STRENGTHENING BURA BESIDE ITCRESTING→
THE RECORD past — how exposed this desk has run

carried on 43 of the last 66 editions — since Jul 5, the 10 most recent shown.

Sep 20THE WIND EASES AS IT TURNS ONTO TO… · OKLAHOMA TODAY · FLASH FLOODING WHERE THE SOIL HAS …
Sep 19the line crossed · a Slight risk over the central Pla… · Great Lakes today
Sep 18large · and Florida opened · Marginal
Sep 17named · the deadly rain · fifteen advisories
Sep 16Marginal · the event that moved twice · east of Saipan
Sep 15FORECASTERS STEPPED SUNDAY'S SLIGH… · THE UPPER-MIDWEST HEAVY-RAIN EVENT… · THE FLOOD TOLD TO TAPER TODAY EXPA…
Sep 13A MARGINAL DAY FOR DAMAGING WIND A… · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN OUTLOOK CASHED … · THE ACUTE TIER HELD AT ZERO A SECO…
Sep 12SLIGHT DOWNGRADED TO MARGINAL · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT JUMPED H… · THE DEADLY OUTBREAK HAS PASSED SOU…
Sep 11AN UPGRADED SLIGHT · AN EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT THAT RODE… · AN ORANGE-TIER OUTBREAK ON THE TRO…
Sep 8A CATEGORY-2 LOWELL AT CLOSEST APP… · A SLIGHT THAT SHIFTED SOUTH-EAST A… · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT MOVED TO…