THE WATER
The season is pivoting, on schedule. Withdrawal is confirmed from parts of West Rajasthan , with conditions favourable for further withdrawal over Rajasthan, Punjab and Saurashtra-Kutch; Delhi and the north-west are largely dry on a seasonal deficit of about 15 percent . The heavy-rain focus has moved to Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana and to central, eastern and southern India. Retreat in one half, activity in the other.
THE RECORD
31 turning points on record since Jul 18 — the 8 most recent shown.
Sep 19 ↑ moved up the board
Sep 18 ↑ moved up the board
Sep 17 ▽ became confirmed
Sep 16 building → easing
Sep 15 easing → building
Sep 13 cresting → easing · eased sharply
Sep 12 active → cresting
Sep 11 ↑ firmed
WHO IT TOUCHES
Agriculture a monsoon retreat you can plan a harvest against, a flood window over farmland, and one last freeze before spring
CONNECTED
Two hemispheres on one calendar hinge — and this edge is a coincidence of timing, named as one.
SOURCES — ANI and Business Standard, Aug 28 2026 · Bangladesh disaster ministry · Business Standard and state relays Aug 8 · GDACS · GDACS flood board Aug 3 · GDACS global board Aug 8 · GDACS global flood board Aug 7 · IMD and RSMC New Delhi via OdishaTV, Pragativadi and Down To Earth, Aug 24 2026 · IMD homepage Aug 13 2026 with the state broadcaster's relay of the departmental bulletin; Pakistan Today and The Nation Aug 8 2026, NDMA-origin · IMD homepage and bulletins Aug 6-9 · IMD press release Aug 2 · IMD press release Aug 6 · IMD press release Aug 7 · IMD press releases Aug 4 · IMD via Argus, Odisha Connect and The News Mill, Sep 13 2026 (reported) · IMD via Down To Earth · IMD via Down To Earth, ANI, Kalinga TV, Pragativadi and OrissaPOST, Sep 12 2026 · IMD via Down To Earth, OrissaPOST, OdishaTV, Pragativadi and Kalinga TV, Sep 11 2026 · IMD via NewsOnAir and The Week, current as of the Sep 7 20:30 IST bulletin · IMD via india.com and Zee Business, Aug 28 2026 · IMD via mausam and Indian press (reported), Sep 16 2026 · IMD via mausam plus India.com and Business Standard, Sep 20 2026 — REPORTED where regional detail came through desks because the warning sub-pages are not machine-parseable: the south-west monsoon has withdrawn from parts of West Rajasthan, with conditions favourable for further withdrawal over Rajasthan, Punjab and Saurashtra-Kutch; Delhi and the north-west largely dry with a seasonal deficit of about 15 percent; the heavy-rain focus has shifted to Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana and to central, eastern and southern India. · IMD via mausam.imd.gov.in and Indian press, Sep 15 2026 (reported) · IMD via mausam.imd.gov.in, Sep 17 2026 · IMD, Sep 18 2026 · IMD-origin alerts and Odisha relief-commissioner figures via Onmanorama, OrissaPost, Pragativadi and Business Today, Aug 16-20 2026 · IMD-origin alerts and Odisha relief-commissioner figures via Onmanorama, the Sunday Guardian, Business Today, Pragativadi and ANI, Aug 16-21 2026 · IMD-origin via Pragativadi, OrissaPost, OdishaTV, Business Today and the Sunday Guardian, Aug 16-18 2026 · IMD-origin via india.com, Down To Earth and Odisha Connect, Aug 13-16 2026 · India Meteorological Department, Sep 19 2026, through mausam and Indian desks — conditions are becoming favourable for monsoon WITHDRAWAL from about Sep 19 over parts of West Rajasthan, against a seasonal rainfall deficit of about 15 percent; a final north-west and central flurry brings heavy 64.5 to 115.5 mm and very heavy 115.6 to 204.4 mm rain over the next three days to west Madhya Pradesh, west Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, east Rajasthan, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, with very heavy 11 to 20 cm already recorded at isolated districts of Gujarat and Saurashtra including Anand, Kutch, Bhavnagar, Jamnagar, Gir Somnath and Rajkot. IMD warning sub-pages were not machine-parseable this run, so regional detail is REPORTED through desks. · NDMA via Pakistan Today Aug 8 · NDMA via Pakistan Today and Daily Times Aug 8 · NDMA via national press Aug 1-3 · NDMA via national press Aug 3 · NDMA via national press Aug 3-4 · NDRRMC · NDRRMC (carried) · RSMC New Delhi 0300 UTC Aug 22 2026 with IMD and RMC Bhubaneswar relayed by OrissaPost, Pragativadi and OdishaTV · RSMC New Delhi and IMD with Odisha desks (NewsOnAir, OrissaPost), Aug 23 2026 · Xinhua / GDACS