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CHINA — A LONG-WINDOW RIVERINE SIGNAL, AND A FIGURE THAT IS NINE DAYS OLD

On the board · September 22, 2026 →
ACTIVE · September 22, 2026 · NO. 0922
THE WATER

A cross-agency board carries an orange riverine signal for China across a long August-September window — read as a lead, never as an authority. The widely circulated figures of about 31,000 evacuated and 452 mm on Hainan trace to reporting of Sep 13 and 14 and are re-dated here as roughly nine-day-old context, not today's event. The national pages were not reachable this run, so no fresh dated product verifies a current figure and none is asserted. There is also no active typhoon affecting the country. The row is deliberately thin and is marked reported rather than confirmed, because the only thing standing behind it is a relayed board and a dated news vintage: getting a number's vintage wrong is how old data is laundered into current certainty.

THE RECORD

22 turning points on record since Aug 8 — the 8 most recent shown.

Sep 22appeared, active
Sep 21✓ came off the board
Sep 18▽ slipped down the board
Sep 17▽ eased
Sep 16↑ moved up the board
Sep 15↑ intensified sharply
Sep 13▽ slipped down the board
Sep 12↑ moved up the board
CONNECTED

Two rows whose correction this morning is a date rather than a number.

WHAT THEY'RE SAYING

searched 34 vetted voices and the open field — nothing said about this system cleared the screen.