Sourced numbers convert at build, to the same rounding the
issuing agency publishes. Translation is machine-assisted; every measurement is
carried across unchanged.
tropical
BAY OF BENGAL — A LANDFALL NAMED ON THE CALENDAR WHILE THE SYSTEM IS STILL A LOW
The well-marked low over the west-central Bay is forecast to become a depression today and then a deep depression, approaching the coast between Visakhapatnam and Gopalpur on the morning of Sep 23 and likely crossing during the night of Sep 23 into early Sep 24. A red warning covers the coastal Odisha districts Kandhamal, Gajapati, Ganjam and Puri, with heavy rain forecast across Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, West Bengal and Jharkhand. Bay winds run 50-60 gusting 70 km/h today and 55-65 gusting 75 km/h tomorrow, with fishermen advised off the water. In parallel the monsoon's withdrawal stays favourable over Rajasthan, Punjab and Saurashtra-Kutch. Relayed through desks citing the national bulletin rather than read off the agency page, so the row is marked reported.
THE RECORD
33 turning points on record since Jul 18 — the 8 most recent shown.
Sep 22reclassified water → tropical · easing → building · intensified sharply
Sep 21▽ slipped down the board
Sep 19↑ moved up the board
Sep 18↑ moved up the board
Sep 17▽ became confirmed
Sep 16building → easing
Sep 15easing → building
Sep 13cresting → easing · eased sharply
WHO IT TOUCHES
Public safetyfour warning systems live at once, and the distance between the warning and the water is different in every one
Maritime & portstwo fishing coasts told to stay ashore, a major hurricane's surf, and a river gauge that keeps taking draft away
Supply chainsan east-coast Indian landfall window, a deepening low-water river, and a Brazilian corridor coming back up
Energy & utilities48,000 households already dark, a coastal grid facing landfall, and a high freezing level over hydro catchments
Agriculturea harvest coast facing landfall, a monsoon withdrawing in the north-west, and hail damage already counted
Health systemssearch and recovery on loaded slopes, shelter staging before a landfall, and dust with near-zero visibility
CONNECTED
Two halves of the same argument, 36 hours apart.
WHAT THEY'RE SAYING
Communicators tracking the Bay of Bengal low have already highlighted a likely landfall date while the system is still weak. They note that models show the low strengthening into a cyclone or deep depression before it reaches the coast, with one pointing to an area near Visakhapatnam and another to the border region of south Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh. This early focus adds detail on the timing and possible intensity at arrival that aligns closely with the official forecast.
JH@jhrishi2Sep 21Model forecasts the Bay of Bengal low strengthening into a cyclone before landfall near Visakhapatnam. Open on X →
CU@CurrentMat51623Sep 21Forecasters predict the well-marked low will become a deep depression with landfall near south Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh. Open on X →
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