Nº 0928 · MONDAY 2026-09-28 · 09:30Z
The Atmosphere Today
SINCE YESTERDAYBAJA CALIFORNIA SUR — HURRICANE POLO COMES ASHORE THIS EVENING · HELD→BANGKOK · INTENSIFIED→THE FOUR CORNERS — POLO'S MOISTURE BRINGS FOUR DAYS OF FLOOD RISK · INTENSIFIED→SOUTH-WEST OF HAWAII — HURRICANE NOLO NEARS CATEGORY 5 · INTENSIFIED→SOUTH OF JAPAN — TYPHOON SURIGAE WEAKENS PAST THE DAITO ISLANDS · WEAKENED→THE SAUDI SOUTH-WEST — ELEVEN RED ALERTS FOR HEAVY RAIN · STEADY→SOUTH OF ACAPULCO — TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORMS · INTENSIFIED→SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — 12 · WEAKENED→THE ANDAMAN SEA — A DEPRESSION FORMS · NEW→NORTHERN INDIA AND NEPAL — LATE-SEASON RAIN KILLS 70 IN FIVE DAYS · INTENSIFIED→LIBYA — FLASH FLOODS AT MIZDAH · NEW→NORTH-EASTERN SPAIN — AN ORANGE STORM WARNING FOR CATALONIA TONIGHT · INTENSIFIED→THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC — FAY STAYS A DEPRESSION · HELD→SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS EASE AFTER A WEEK OF RAIN · WEAKENED→EASTERN JAPAN — LAST WEEK'S TYPHOON TOLL STANDS AT 12 DEAD · WEAKENED→NIGERIA — CROSS RIVER COMMUNITIES STAY ON FLOOD WATCH · WEAKENED→GAUTENG — YELLOW STORM WARNINGS · WEAKENED→RIO DE JANEIRO — A RED ALERT FOR EXTREME HEAT THROUGH WEDNESDAY · NEW→THE RHINE AT KAUB — THE GAUGE RISES BACK ABOVE ZERO · WEAKENED→CENTRAL CHINA — RAINSTORMS OF 50 TO 90 MM FOR HUBEI AND CHONGQING · INTENSIFIED→
THE LEAD
Hurricane Polo comes ashore in Baja California Sur this evening.
The Category 3 crosses to Sonora overnight, with 6 to 12 inches of rain forecast on the peninsula.
AT THIS HOURCategory 3 near 23.6 N 113.8 W, 115 mph, 958 mb, moving north-north-east at 10 mphHurricane-force winds reach 40 miles from the centre, tropical-storm-force winds 105 miles.
WHEN IT ARRIVESBaja California Sur late this afternoon or early this evening; Sonora late tonightTropical-storm conditions begin in the southern warning area this morning and spread across the peninsula tonight.
WHAT IS ALREADY IN FORCEHurricane warnings on both coasts of the peninsula and from Bahia Kino to HuatabampitoWatches and tropical-storm warnings reach Punta Eugenia, San Evaristo and Topolobampo.
Hurricane Polo is a Category 3 this morning, and forecasters expect its centre to cross the west coast of Baja California Sur late this afternoon or early this evening, near major-hurricane strength. At 2 AM it sat about 125 miles south-west of Cabo San Lazaro, with 115 mph winds, moving north-north-east at 10 mph. Conditions are already worsening, and forecasters say that makes further preparations difficult.
READ THE FULL STORY — BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR — HURRICANE POLO COMES ASHORE THIS EVENING →SINCE YESTERDAY — WHAT MOVED
20 systems moved since yesterday's edition · 12 held steady.
✦ APPEARED3
THE ANDAMAN SEA — A DEPRESSION FORMS→LIBYA — FLASH FLOODS AT MIZDAH→RIO DE JANEIRO — A RED ALERT FOR EXTREME HEAT THROUGH WEDNESDAY→↑ ESCALATED7
BANGKOKintensified→THE FOUR CORNERS — POLO'S MOISTURE BRINGS FOUR DAYS OF FLOOD RISKfirmer→SOUTH-WEST OF HAWAII — HURRICANE NOLO NEARS CATEGORY 5intensified→SOUTH OF ACAPULCO — TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORMSintensified→NORTHERN INDIA AND NEPAL — LATE-SEASON RAIN KILLS 70 IN FIVE DAYSintensified→NORTH-EASTERN SPAIN — AN ORANGE STORM WARNING FOR CATALONIA TONIGHTintensified→CENTRAL CHINA — RAINSTORMS OF 50 TO 90 MM FOR HUBEI AND CHONGQINGintensified→▽ EASED10
SOUTH OF JAPAN — TYPHOON SURIGAE WEAKENS PAST THE DAITO ISLANDSweakened→SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — 12weakened→SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS EASE AFTER A WEEK OF RAINweakened→EASTERN JAPAN — LAST WEEK'S TYPHOON TOLL STANDS AT 12 DEADslipped→NIGERIA — CROSS RIVER COMMUNITIES STAY ON FLOOD WATCHweakened→GAUTENG — YELLOW STORM WARNINGSslipped→THE RHINE AT KAUB — THE GAUGE RISES BACK ABOVE ZEROweakened→THE CONTIGUOUS US — NO SEVERE STORMS FORECAST TODAY OR TUESDAYweakened
ITALY — A CALM MONDAYweakened
CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE WARNINGS PAGE DID NOT LOADweakened
HELD STEADYBAJA CALIFORNIA SUR — HURRICANE POLO COMES ASHORE THIS EVENING · THE SAUDI SOUTH-WEST — ELEVEN RED ALERTS FOR HEAVY RAIN · THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC — FAY STAYS A DEPRESSION · THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF — NO STORM IN SIGHT · THE SOUTHERN OCEANS — OFF-SEASON · AUSTRALIA — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE NATIONAL WARNINGS PAGE DID NOT LOAD · BRITAIN — NOT CHECKED TODAY: NO WARNING PAGE WAS READ · THE AMERICAN WEST — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE FIRE REPORT WAS NOT REFRESHED · NORTH-EAST BANGLADESH — NOT CHECKED TODAY: NO RIVER READING WAS TAKEN · CENTRAL AMERICA — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE REGIONAL BOARDS WERE NOT REFRESHED · PAKISTAN — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE NATIONAL LEDGER WAS NOT REFRESHED · SOUTHERN DALMATIA — NOT CHECKED TODAY: THE NATIONAL WARNING PAGE WAS NOT READ
WHERE IT IS — THE BOARD
heatsevererain / floodtropicalfire weathersmoke / airdroughtwinterquiet✦new↑escalated▽eased=heldsince yesterday
upstream downstream — One hurricane, two countries — Polo's core crosses Baja California Sur tonight.
| SYSTEM | HAZARD | PEAK | TREND | TOUCHES | CONF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR — HURRICANE POLO COMES ASHORE THIS EVENING PEAK | tropical | 115 mph | ● at peak | 7 | C |
| Hurricane Polo, a Category 3 at 115 mph, is forecast to cross the coast of Baja California Sur late this afternoon or early this evening | ||||||
| 2 | BANGKOK, THAILAND — FLOODWATER LINGERS AFTER 320 MM, 1.7 MILLION AFFECTED EASING | water | 320 mm | ▼ easing | 5 | R |
| About 320 mm of rain in two to three days has left 93 roads flooded in Bangkok and more than 80,000 residents unable to leave home, with five canals critical | ||||||
| 3 | THE FOUR CORNERS — POLO'S MOISTURE BRINGS FOUR DAYS OF FLOOD RISK BUILDING | water | 1-3 in | ▲ building | 6 | C |
| A moderate risk of excessive rain covers the Four Corners today, where 1 to 3 inches falls on soils already near saturation, burn scars and slot canyons | ||||||
| 4 | SOUTH-WEST OF HAWAII — HURRICANE NOLO NEARS CATEGORY 5 BUILDING | tropical | 155 mph | ▲ building | 1 | C |
| Hurricane Nolo is a Category 4 at 155 mph about 400 miles south-west of Honolulu, and could reach Category 5 today | ||||||
| 5 | SOUTH OF JAPAN — TYPHOON SURIGAE (QUEENIE) WEAKENS PAST THE DAITO ISLANDS EASING | tropical | 90 kt | ▼ easing | 2 | C |
| Typhoon Surigae sits about 160 km north-north-east of Minamidaito with 90-knot ten-minute winds and 955 hPa, moving east-north-east | ||||||
| 6 | THE SAUDI SOUTH-WEST — ELEVEN RED ALERTS FOR HEAVY RAIN ACTIVE | water | — | ► ongoing | 1 | C |
| Eleven red alerts for heavy rain cover the highlands of Makkah, Asir, Al-Baha and Jazan today, including Taif and Abha, with orange alerts reaching Madinah | ||||||
| 7 | SOUTH OF ACAPULCO — TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORMS, A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY BUILDING | tropical | 45 mph | ▲ building | 1 | C |
| Tropical Storm Rachel has formed about 245 miles south of Acapulco with 45 mph winds and is forecast to become a hurricane on Tuesday | ||||||
| 8 | SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — 12,000 CUT OFF AFTER RIVERS FLOOD ROADS EASING | water | 12,303 isolated | ▼ easing | 2 | R |
| A frontal system has left 12,303 people isolated and 643 homeless or badly affected in south-central Chile, most in La Araucanía, where the Trancura River cut Route CH-199 and 7,828… | ||||||
| 9 | THE ANDAMAN SEA — A DEPRESSION FORMS, BOUND FOR THE BAY OF BENGAL BUILDING | tropical | 40-50 km/h | ▲ building | — | R |
| A depression formed early today about 100 km south of Mawlamyine and is expected to deepen within 12 hours as it tracks north-north-west toward the north-east Bay of Bengal and… | ||||||
| 10 | NORTHERN INDIA AND NEPAL — LATE-SEASON RAIN KILLS 70 IN FIVE DAYS ACTIVE | water | — | ► ongoing | 1 | R |
| Late-season rain from Sep 23 to 27 killed 56 people in India and 14 in Nepal, where 11 are missing and flash floods are possible in 49 of 77 districts | ||||||
| 11 | LIBYA — FLASH FLOODS AT MIZDAH, A STATE OF EMERGENCY EASING | water | — | ▼ easing | — | R |
| Flash floods at Mizdah, about 165 km south of Tripoli, and nearby Al-Shqaiqah left at least 1 dead and 79 injured on Sep 25 and 26, after 3 members of… | ||||||
| 12 | NORTH-EASTERN SPAIN — AN ORANGE STORM WARNING FOR CATALONIA TONIGHT BUILDING | severe | 100+ mm | ▲ building | — | R |
| An orange warning covers Catalonia from 9 PM, with rain of up to 40 mm an hour and more than 100 mm possible in two to three hours on the… | ||||||
| 13 | THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC — FAY STAYS A DEPRESSION, STILL NO HURRICANE EASING | tropical | 35 mph | ▼ easing | — | C |
| Tropical Depression Fay drifts south-south-west at 35 mph, about 1,210 miles west-south-west of the Azores, and should lose its tropical character late Tuesday | ||||||
| 14 | SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS EASE AFTER A WEEK OF RAIN EASING | water | — | ▼ easing | — | R |
| Red landslide warnings for Galle, Kandy and Nuwara Eliya have eased to the lowest level in five districts, after a week of rain that affected 3,495 people and killed 3 | ||||||
| 15 | EASTERN JAPAN — LAST WEEK'S TYPHOON TOLL STANDS AT 12 DEAD RECOVERY | tropical | — | ▼ recovery | — | R |
| Recovery goes on in Chiba and Kanagawa, where most of the 12 deaths from last week's typhoon came in landslides and flooding after more than 800 mm of rain in… | ||||||
| 16 | NIGERIA — CROSS RIVER COMMUNITIES STAY ON FLOOD WATCH EASING | water | — | ▼ easing | — | R |
| Last week's high riverine flood advisory for 15 states has expired with no newer one issued, and 2,471 communities in Cross River were in its exposure areas. | ||||||
| 17 | GAUTENG — YELLOW STORM WARNINGS, EXTREME FIRE DANGER IN LIMPOPO ACTIVE | severe | — | ► ongoing | — | R |
| Yellow level-2 severe storms cover most of Gauteng, the Mpumalanga Highveld and south-western Limpopo today, with hail, damaging winds and localised flooding | ||||||
| 18 | RIO DE JANEIRO — A RED ALERT FOR EXTREME HEAT THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACTIVE | heat | — | ► ongoing | 1 | R |
| A red alert for extreme heat covers Rio de Janeiro and nine other cities until Wednesday evening, while humidity near 20 percent raises fire risk around Brasília. | ||||||
| 18 | THE RHINE AT KAUB — THE GAUGE RISES BACK ABOVE ZERO EASING | drought | 2 cm | ▼ easing | 1 | C |
| The Kaub gauge read 2 cm late this morning, up from minus 2 cm a day earlier, still low for the barges that load through the Rhine gorge. | ||||||
| 19 | CENTRAL CHINA — RAINSTORMS OF 50 TO 90 MM FOR HUBEI AND CHONGQING ACTIVE | water | 50-90 mm | ► ongoing | — | R |
| Rainstorms of 50 to 90 mm are forecast over south-western Hubei and north-eastern Chongqing through Tuesday evening, with short bursts of 20 to 40 mm an hour across a band… | ||||||
QUIET — THE CONTIGUOUS US · THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF · THE SOUTHERN OCEANS · ITALY · NOT CHECKED TODAY — CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND · AUSTRALIA · BRITAIN · THE AMERICAN WEST · NORTH-EAST BANGLADESH · CENTRAL AMERICA · PAKISTAN · SOUTHERN DALMATIA
■ OPEN THE LIVE MAP →EVENT · VENUEWHENSHELTERTHE WEATHER THERE
The Big EEastern States Exposition, West SpringfieldSep 18 – Oct 4open-airMon–FriRain likely Monday morning and afternoon; breezy, gusts to 40 km/h Monday · 11–27°C
Oktoberfest MunichTheresienwiese, MunichSep 19 – Oct 4open-airMon–Sat morningDry, sun and cloud · 9–27°C
Les Voiles de Saint-TropezPort of Saint-TropezSep 26 – Oct 4open-airMon–Sat morningDry and cloudy; breezy, gusts to 40 km/h Wednesday · 16–26°C