Hurricane Nolo

Hurricane — Category 4 Nolo is packing 135-kt (155-mph) winds, moving WNW at 10 kt (12 mph). Expected to stay over open water.

At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nolo was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 161.3 West. Nolo is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Monday, with a turn toward the north expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will remain well south and southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands but will approach the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Nolo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is expected, and Nolo could become a category 5 hurricane on Monday. A gradual weakening trend is likely to begin by late Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend out— National Hurricane Center · public advisory 31

Nolo tracks over open water — no coast is in the outlook. Along its path, our forecast reads:

This is the East Pacific · 15°N–28°N, 173°W–159°W. Nolo’s forecast track is the dotted spine — the labelled dots mark its position each day. Every cell is shaded by how many hours it spends inside Nolo’s gale-force (≥34 kt · 39 mph) wind across the whole forecast, the damaging core counted double.

Read it two ways at once. Colour is the total — the hours of gale-force wind a place piles up. A slow storm writes its danger in duration, not in any single gust, so the longer the wind sits over a place, the deeper its colour. Opacity is confidence — solid where the official probability of that wind is high, faint where it is only a chance. So a deep, solid cell is a place the wind will work for a long time and likely will; a pale, faint one is a brief, uncertain brush at the edge of the cone.

Hurricane Nolo strengthened into a major system well southwest of Hawaii. One tropical specialist noted the storm had intensified but steered clear of the islands, while another account described a close approach that delivered flooding rains and strong winds to the Big Island. A science-focused meteorologist highlighted the broader active season across the Pacific that included effects on Hawaii and Baja California, adding context beyond the official forecast track.

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