Nº 0925 · FRIDAY 2026-09-25 · 09:30Z
The Atmosphere Today
SINCE YESTERDAYSOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND — HURRICANE NOLO STRENGTHENS UNDER A WARNING→OFF SOUTH-WEST MEXICO — POLO REGAINS CATEGORY 5→SOUTH ODISHA — THE DEPRESSION EASES INLAND→SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST OF OKINAWA — SURIGAE HEADS FOR A TYPHOON PASS→SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS WIDEN TO 14 DISTRICTS→EASTERN JAPAN — THE TOLL FROM LAST WEEK'S TYPHOON RISES TO 12→OFF CABO VERDE — TROPICAL STORM GONZALO→NEW MEXICO TO KANSAS — A SLIGHT FLASH-FLOOD RISK→SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — RIVERS CREST UNDER A RED ALERT IN VALDIVIA→SAUDI ARABIA'S SOUTH-WEST — RAIN AND HAIL THROUGH SUNDAY→NIGERIA — THE 15-STATE RIVERINE FLOOD ADVISORY REACHES ITS LAST DAY→NORTHERN ITALY — ORANGE STORM ALERTS FOR LIGURIA AND EMILIA-ROMAGNA→THE RHINE AT KAUB — DOWN TO 3 CM→NORTHERN AND NORTH-EASTERN THAILAND — HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH-FLOOD RISK TO SEP 27→SOUTH AFRICA — WESTERN STORMS AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER IN THE NORTHERN CAPE→NEPAL — THE FLOOD LEDGER→PAKISTAN — A NATIONAL COUNT CARRIED AT ITS SEP 3 FIGURE→
THE LEAD
Hurricane Nolo strengthens south of Hawaii's Big Island under a warning.
Forecasters expect a major hurricane on Saturday and up to 35 inches of rain on the island's eastern slopes.
AT THIS HOURHurricane near 15.5 N 155.6 W, 80 mph, 985 mb, moving north-north-east at 5 mphAbout 240 miles south of South Point and 430 miles south-south-east of Honolulu; tropical-storm-force winds reach 105 miles from the centre.
WHEN IT ARRIVESTropical-storm conditions late Friday; hurricane conditions possible early Saturday; major hurricane SaturdayIt slows to a crawl south of the island Friday night, then turns west and moves away over the weekend.
WHAT IS ALREADY IN FORCETropical storm warning and hurricane watch for Hawaii County; tropical storm watch for Maui County15 to 30 inches, up to 35, on the eastern and southern Big Island; a 1-to-3-foot surge; life-threatening surf from Friday.
Nolo is a hurricane now, and the Big Island's rain starts today. At 11 PM last night its centre sat about 240 miles south of South Point, with 80 mph winds and a pressure of 985 mb, moving north-north-east at 5 mph. Forecasters expect a major hurricane on Saturday as it slows to a crawl south of the island and then turns west. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch cover Hawaii County.
READ THE FULL STORY — SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND — HURRICANE NOLO STRENGTHENS UNDER A WARNING →WHERE IT IS — THE BOARD
heatsevererain / floodtropicalfire weathersmoke / airdroughtwinterquiet
two clocks — Two Pacific hurricanes, two clocks — Nolo's rain reaches the Big Island tonight.
| SYSTEM | HAZARD | PEAK | TREND | TOUCHES | CONF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND — HURRICANE NOLO STRENGTHENS UNDER A WARNING BUILDING | tropical | 80 mph | ▲ building | 7 | C |
| Hurricane Nolo sits about 240 miles south of South Point at 80 mph and 985 mb, moving north-north-east at 5 mph | ||||||
| 2 | OFF SOUTH-WEST MEXICO — POLO REGAINS CATEGORY 5, BOUND FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR PEAK | tropical | 160 mph | ● at peak | 5 | C |
| Hurricane Polo is a Category 5 again at 160 mph and 929 mb, about 250 miles south-south-west of Cabo Corrientes, moving west at 12 mph | ||||||
| 3 | SOUTH ODISHA — THE DEPRESSION EASES INLAND, AND RED RAIN HOLDS EASING | tropical | 20+ cm | ▼ easing | 5 | R |
| The system weakened to a depression near Nuapada on the Chhattisgarh border, moving north-north-west at about 15 km/h, and is forecast to fade to a well-marked low within a day | ||||||
| 4 | SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST OF OKINAWA — SURIGAE (QUEENIE) HEADS FOR A TYPHOON PASS BUILDING | tropical | 45 mph | ▲ building | 2 | R |
| Tropical Storm Surigae, named Queenie in the Philippine area, sits about 490 miles south-south-east of Okinawa at 45 mph, moving north-west at 13 mph | ||||||
| 5 | SRI LANKA — LANDSLIDE WARNINGS WIDEN TO 14 DISTRICTS, SIX RED BUILDING | water | 300+ mm | ▲ building | 3 | R |
| 14 districts are on landslide alert and six are red, with the highest level for Kandy, Kegalle and Nuwara Eliya, after more than 300 mm of rain in 72 hours | ||||||
| 6 | EASTERN JAPAN — THE TOLL FROM LAST WEEK'S TYPHOON RISES TO 12 RECOVERY | tropical | 832 mm | ▼ recovery | 1 | R |
| The count from last week's typhoon rose to 12 dead and 3 missing: 7 in Chiba, 4 in Kanagawa and 1 in Miyazaki, with about 500 homes damaged | ||||||
| 7 | OFF CABO VERDE — TROPICAL STORM GONZALO, AND STILL NO ATLANTIC HURRICANE EMERGING | tropical | 45 mph | ▲ emerging | 2 | C |
| Tropical Storm Gonzalo formed about 140 miles east-south-east of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands at 45 mph, under a tropical storm warning for the islands | ||||||
| 8 | NEW MEXICO TO KANSAS — A SLIGHT FLASH-FLOOD RISK, AND PACIFIC MOISTURE NEXT ACTIVE | water | 1-3 in | ► ongoing | 1 | C |
| A slight excessive-rain risk runs from New Mexico into south-west Kansas, where 1 to 3 inches can fall | ||||||
| 9 | SOUTH-CENTRAL CHILE — RIVERS CREST UNDER A RED ALERT IN VALDIVIA EASING | water | — | ▼ easing | 1 | R |
| A red alert holds in Valdivia, where the Calle Calle and Leufucade rivers overflowed, with evacuation and riverbank warnings reinforced | ||||||
| 10 | SAUDI ARABIA'S SOUTH-WEST — RAIN AND HAIL THROUGH SUNDAY ACTIVE | water | — | ► ongoing | — | R |
| Rain, thunderstorms, hail and torrential runoff are forecast across Jazan, Asir, Al-Baha and Makkah, including Taif, through Sunday | ||||||
| 11 | NIGERIA — THE 15-STATE RIVERINE FLOOD ADVISORY REACHES ITS LAST DAY EASING | water | — | ▼ easing | 2 | R |
| High riverine flood risk runs through today, Sep 25, across 15 states from Lagos and Benue to Bayelsa and Enugu, and national emergency teams remain on alert. | ||||||
| 12 | NORTHERN ITALY — ORANGE STORM ALERTS FOR LIGURIA AND EMILIA-ROMAGNA ACTIVE | severe | — | ► ongoing | — | R |
| Orange alerts cover Liguria and Emilia-Romagna for widespread thunderstorms with intense downpours and gusty winds, with yellow across much of the north. | ||||||
| 13 | THE RHINE AT KAUB — DOWN TO 3 CM ACTIVE | drought | 3 cm | ► ongoing | 2 | C |
| The Kaub gauge read 3 cm late this morning, down from 7 cm a day earlier and flagged low, so Rhine barges through the gorge load lighter still. | ||||||
| 14 | NORTHERN AND NORTH-EASTERN THAILAND — HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH-FLOOD RISK TO SEP 27 ACTIVE | water | 2-3 m | ► ongoing | — | R |
| Heavy to very heavy rain brings flash-flood and runoff risk to Thailand's North and Northeast through Sep 27, with 2-to-3-metre waves offshore; in Vietnam, the central flood wave is easing. | ||||||
| 15 | SOUTH AFRICA — WESTERN STORMS AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER IN THE NORTHERN CAPE ACTIVE | severe | — | ► ongoing | — | R |
| Yellow level-2 severe storms, with lightning, small hail and gusty winds, cover parts of the Northern Cape and Western Cape, and extremely high fire danger covers the north-east Northern Cape. | ||||||
| 16 | NEPAL — THE FLOOD LEDGER, CARRIED AT 1,451 DEAD RECOVERY | water | — | ▼ recovery | — | R |
| The flood ledger is carried at a reported 1,451 dead and about 5,745 missing; no newer national count was read today | ||||||
| 17 | PAKISTAN — A NATIONAL COUNT CARRIED AT ITS SEP 3 FIGURE RECOVERY | water | — | ▼ recovery | — | R |
| The national monsoon count is carried at a reported 180 dead since late June; no newer national figure was published | ||||||
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