SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO — A 90% CHANCE OF A DEPRESSION

On the board · October 4, 2026 →

EMERGING · October 4, 2026 · NO. 1004

THE STORM

A broad low near the Gulf of Tehuantepec has a 90% chance of becoming a depression within seven days, likely by mid-to-late week. The next name on the list is Simon.

THE RECORD

55 turning points on record since Aug 16 — the 8 most recent shown.

Oct 4↑ moved up the board

Oct 2↑ firmed

Oct 1easing → emerging

Sep 30▽ eased sharply

Sep 29peak → easing · eased sharply

Sep 27→ held

Sep 27▽ designation Hurricane — Category 4→Hurricane — Category 3

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