CENTRAL THAILAND — THE CREST REACHES NAKHON SAWAN, AND SING BURI EVACUATES

On the board · October 2, 2026 →

CRESTING · October 2, 2026 · NO. 1002

THE WATER

Thailand's flood crest has reached Nakhon Sawan, where the flow is peaking near 3,010 cubic metres a second. The Chao Phraya Dam has stepped its release to about 2,400, within a ceiling of 2,500, and rivers below could rise 40 to 70 cm. In Sing Buri, an emergency phone alert told Hua Pa, in Phrom Buri, to leave after water breached an embankment. About 2.93 million people in 31 provinces are affected. (Handled with care.)

Bangkok is holding, its water steady or falling. Ayutthaya, where about 42,000 households are affected, is rising and takes the pulse on Saturday. In Chai Nat, an embankment collapse flooded more than 500 homes. The toll stands at 24 in the disaster-prevention department's count of this event; a wider government count runs higher.

Forecasters expect a fresh round of rain from Monday to Wednesday, first in the north and north-east, then over the Central Plains and Bangkok, onto a basin with no room left. For basin water managers, pump-station crews and district relief offices, the call is how much to drain toward the Gulf before it arrives.

THE RECORD

27 turning points on record since Aug 21 — the 8 most recent shown.

Oct 2↑ moved up the board

Oct 1building → cresting

Sep 30↑ moved up the board

Sep 29easing → building

Sep 28peak → easing · intensified sharply

Sep 27active → peak

Sep 26↑ moved up the board

Sep 25easing → active

THE FACTS

BANGKOK HOLDSBangkok, with about 329,000 households affected, is steady or receding; Ayutthaya is rising.

THE TOLL24 dead in the disaster-prevention department's count of this event; a wider government count runs higher. (Handled with care.)

CHAI NATAn embankment collapse in Chai Nat flooded more than 500 homes.

AND ELSEWHERE — RED HOLDS ON SPAIN'S COASTCastellón and Tarragona stay red after 153.8 mm at Aín; about 356,000 students stayed home, and no deaths are reported.

AND ELSEWHERE — RACHEL, A MAJOR HURRICANEHurricane Rachel, at 115 mph, holds south of Baja California with no coastal warnings, and weakens over the weekend.

WHO IT TOUCHES

Public safetySing Buri evacuates as Thailand's crest arrives, red holds on Spain's coast, and central Texas has flash flooding.

Supply chainsA record-low Rhine, a cut Mediterranean rail corridor and flash flooding on I-35.

AgricultureThailand's Central Plains under flood, a wet Texas harvest window and heavy rain for Victoria.

CONNECTED

Intensity is not exposure — a hurricane-to-be crosses near-empty atolls while rain without a name affects about 2.93 million people in Thailand..

Monsoon-belt rivers — Thailand's crest and Bangladesh's five rivers over danger are both water on the ground at the season's end..

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