severe
SPAIN CLEARED UNDER HIGH PRESSURE, AND THE REMAINING EUROPEAN WIND MOVED TO THE NORTHERN COAST
On the board · September 21, 2026 →
EASING · September 21, 2026 · NO. 0921
THE RISK WINDOW
The weekend's Mediterranean and Balearic thunderstorms ended and high pressure now dominates Spain with no active warnings. The wind that is left is northern: force 8 on the North Frisian Islands and the Baltic coast today, with force 9 gusts on the Brocken and Fichtelberg summits, calming Tuesday . The continental convective anchor this page normally reads was offline, so no European convective outlook is asserted.
THE RECORD
10 turning points on record since Sep 11 — the 8 most recent shown.
Sep 21 active → easing
Sep 20 easing → active
Sep 19 ▽ eased
Sep 18 cresting → easing · eased sharply
Sep 17 easing → cresting · intensified sharply
Sep 16 active → easing
Sep 15 easing → active · became confirmed
Sep 13 ▽ eased sharply
WHO IT TOUCHES
Aviation at least 275 flights already cancelled on a holiday weekend, with three more boards to buffer
Energy more than 4,000 homes already dark, and three grids facing wind, hail or flood inside the day
CONNECTED
The cleared board and the firming footprint are the same high-pressure pattern seen from two distances.
WHAT THEY'RE SAYING
searched 34 vetted voices and the open field — nothing said about this system cleared the screen.
SOURCES — AEMET Spain via ecoticias and national desks (reported) — the weekend Mediterranean and Balearic thunderstorm episode has ENDED and high pressure now dominates with NO active warnings; aemet.es was not directly fetched. DWD Germany, Sep 21 2026 — stormy Beaufort force 8 coastal winds over the North Frisian Islands and the Baltic coast Monday with force 9 gusts on the Brocken and Fichtelberg summits, calming Tuesday. Meteoalarm is JS-rendered and surfaced no orange or red: none-confirmed, not none-exist. ESTOFEX remains offline, so no European convective outlook is asserted. · AEMET Spain, Sep 19 2026, through Infobae and Ultima Hora — REPORTED: the orange warning over Ibiza, Formentera, southern Mallorca and the Sierra de Tramuntana for rain to 50 mm in an hour was a FRIDAY window running to 11:59 and has expired; Saturday sees high pressure rebuild with general improvement and residual instability only over the south-east peninsula, Cabo de la Nao and the Pitiusas. · CARRIED and not re-anchored this run: Bangladesh's FFWC river risk, which would not refresh; the Chinese south-west and north-west rain, where CMA and NMC pages were WAF and CAPTCHA gated and aggregator relay returned year-mixing content naming older storms that could not be verified against a primary service and was SCREENED OUT; and MetService New Zealand's central-NZ trough with rain and snow warnings, reached only through an RNZ relay and marked thin. KMA is tracking Dujuan as its No. 25; the Bureau of Meteorology reads quiet in austral spring. ESTOFEX remains offline, so the European convective anchor is absent again this run. · Cappucci / severe-weather.eu (unverified, discourse) · DHMZ and Meteoalarm-Croatia via Croatia Week, The Watchers and severe-weather.eu, Sep 11 2026 (reported) · ESTOFEX storm forecast issued 12:29 UTC Sep 14 2026 · GDACS RSS, Sep 12 2026 (aggregator, read as a lead) · GDACS RSS, Sep 13 2026 (aggregator, read as a lead) · Italy Dipartimento della Protezione Civile bollettino issued 14:11 CEST Sep 14 for Sep 15 2026 · Italy Protezione Civile bollettino issued 14:26 CEST Sep 15 2026 for Sep 16 · Italy Protezione Civile via met-press relay, Sep 17 2026 (reported) · Italy Protezione Civile via met-press relay, Sep 18 2026 (reported) · Meteoalarm warnings JSON feed and AEMET, read Sep 15 2026 · Protezione Civile Italy via Fanpage, Il Messaggero and the Quotidiano dei Contribuenti, Sep 11 2026 (reported) · Protezione Civile Italy via Meteoweb, Fanpage and Gazzetta del Sud, Sep 13 2026 (reported) · Protezione Civile Italy via Meteoweb, Fanpage, Meteo.it and Newsroom24, Sep 12 2026 (reported) · Protezione Civile Italy, Sep 19 2026, through MeteoAlarm and press — REPORTED: residual YELLOW only on the Apennine and southern sector; the Genova Low is gone. The .gov.it bulletin was not directly fetched this run. · Spain AEMET via El Cronista, Sep 20 2026 (reported; aemet.es not directly fetched): fresh weekend thunderstorm warnings over the Mediterranean coast and the Balearic Islands, with Ibiza and Formentera flagged, and rain on the Cantabrian coast; stability elsewhere. ESTOFEX remains offline, so the European convective anchor is missing this run. · Spain AEMET via Meteoalarm and press, Sep 17 2026 (reported) · Spain AEMET via press relay, Sep 18 2026 (reported) · The Watchers and severe-weather.eu, Sep 12 2026 (reported) · Tomorrow.io v4 REST forecast, 38 of 38 monitored locations, 09:15 UTC Sep 11 2026 (internal context) · severe-weather.eu and circulating media, Sep 16-17 2026 (unverified/debunked as a 2026 event)
THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY · EVENT← TODAY'S COVER