NIGERIA — A 15-STATE FLOOD ADVISORY RUNNING SEP 19-25, DRIVEN BY RAIN AND NOT BY A DAM

The national flood advisory runs September 19 to 25 across 15 named states — Imo, Cross River, Lagos, Ebonyi, Benue, Anambra, Akwa Ibom, Edo, Bayelsa, Enugu, Kogi, Delta, Abia, Taraba and Rivers. Two things about it are load-bearing and neither is the headline the story usually gets. The flooding is rain- and flash-driven, with no new dam release, so the instruments are a rain gauge and a river stage rather than a discharge rate. And the reservoir level widely quoted beside this story, 209.82 m of 216 m, is an August 30 vintage that the September advisory does not restate — about three weeks old, and not today's level. Reached through national press desks and marked reported.

15 turning points on record since Aug 23 — the 8 most recent shown.

Two river floods you can only read off a gauge — and the pair carries the longest usable lead time on this board.

Communicators have reinforced the official forecast by reporting flood risks across fifteen states from September 19 to 25, driven by rain. Their updates align on the potential for river flooding in multiple regions including Lagos and nearby states, adding early confirmation of the expected timeline and scope. This helps clarify that the event stems from seasonal rainfall patterns rather than other factors.

newest first · every line is our own summary of a post, not the poster's words — open the post to read it as written.