tropical
The east Pacific — the genesis engine ramps as its rain finishes onshore
BUILDING · September 17, 2026 · NO. 0917
THE STORM
The area south-west of south-western Mexico rose to 70 percent over seven days , up from 50, and a new western area carries 60 percent — two probable depressions this weekend or early next week. The Gulf-of-California low is no longer tracked : it moved inland, and its moisture is the water now under a Moderate risk over Arizona and New Mexico.
THE RECORD
25 turning points on record since Aug 16 — the 8 most recent shown.
Sep 15 → held
Sep 15 ▽ slipped down the board
Sep 15 ▽ designation Tropical Storm→Tropical Depression
Sep 13 → held
Sep 13 → held
Sep 13 peak → easing
Sep 13 → held
Sep 12 building → peak
WHO IT TOUCHES
Maritime an island chain in a named storm's path, two genesis areas offshore, and a fishing coast under red
SOURCES — NHC E-Pac TWO 11:00 PM PDT Aug 26 2026 and the active tropical cyclones page · NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook and active-cyclones page, Sep 13 2026 · NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 1100 PM PDT Sep 14 2026 · NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, Sep 17 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook 11:00 PM PDT Aug 27 2026 and the active-cyclones page · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook 11:00 PM PDT Sep 7 2026 and the active-cyclones page · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook and active-cyclones page, Sep 11 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook and active-cyclones page, Sep 12 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 11:00 PM PDT Aug 15 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 11:00 PM PDT Aug 17 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 11:00 PM PDT Aug 20 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 11:00 PM PDT Aug 21 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 11:00 PM PDT Aug 22 2026 · NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, 11:00 PM PDT Aug 23 2026 · NHC Iselle Adv 10 · NHC Iselle Adv 8 · NHC Iselle Adv 9 · NHC Iselle public advisory, Aug 24 2026 · NHC Karina Adv 4 · NHC Karina Adv 5 · NHC Marie Adv 29 · NHC Marie Adv 30 · NHC Norbert Adv 15 · NHC Norbert Adv 16 · NHC Norbert Adv 17 · NHC Norbert Adv 23 · NHC Norbert Adv 24 · NHC Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Advisory #6, 800 PM PDT Sep 14 2026 · NHC/CPHC Tropical Depression Norbert Advisory #22, 500 PM HST Sep 14 2026 · NOAA WPC excessive-rainfall discussion, Sep 17 2026