a holiday-weekend flight bank into Tokyo, a flooded Southwest hub pair today, and an easy day everywhere else
The decision this desk owns today is a pre-cancellation, and it is about a weekend that has not arrived. Dujuan reaches eastern Japan from Saturday — Ogasawara Saturday, the Izu Islands Sunday, rain into Tokyo behind them — across Silver Week, which puts Haneda and Narita holiday banks, trans-Pacific routing and fuel loads on a 70-knot peak and a saturated-ground rain footprint rather than a wind-limit question, and the call gets cheaper the earlier it is made. Today's live disruption is in the Southwest, where a Moderate excessive-rain risk over Phoenix and Tucson is a ground-stop and ramp-closure problem for one operational day before the risk eases and heat becomes the weekend's southern story with records challenged. The American convective picture is Marginal only, Day 1 and Day 2. In Europe, orange criticality over Liguria and Emilia-Romagna and AEMET orange for Mallorca and Almería are the live items, with a coastal wind maximum of 8.5 m/s on the Croatian side as a crosswind note. (The Adriatic figures are internal situational context.)
carried on 40 of the last 63 editions — since Jul 5, the 10 most recent shown.