No. 1008

Sources

No. 1008 · Thursday, October 8, 2026

Every figure on this edition's cover traces to a source below or it was cut. Full ledger maintained in the issue record.

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  1. 1AEMET avisos via Infobae, EFE and TheObjective, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — one orange warning, Catalonia, for wind gusts to 90 km/h in southern Tarragona and coastal waves to 4 m; yellow for wind in Aragon and Valencia, rain and wind in the Balearics, heavy rain above 20 mm/h on the eastern Catalan coast; the second Mediterranean episode arrived weaker and further north than the Levante rain billed.
  2. 2ANACIM and the Senegal government via Leral, Seneweb and Senego, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — a new nationwide rain and thunderstorm episode Oct 8-12, Dakar included, with marine vigilance Oct 10-12; at least 5 dead, 3 of them children (provisional, unchanged); the school year postponed to Oct 12; Dakar hosts the Youth Olympic Games from Oct 31.
  3. 3AccuWeather, ABC and CBS, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — Isaias is the first Atlantic hurricane of 2026; hurricane strength came on Oct 8, the same calendar date as the latest first hurricane on record, Oct 8 1905 (records from 1851), so the record is tied, not broken. Florida declared a state of emergency (weather.com, CNN, CBS, reported).
  4. 4BMD, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — no flood or marine warning; the south-west monsoon expected to withdraw within about 48 hours.
  5. 5Bureau of Meteorology warnings summary, Victoria, read directly, 07:16 UTC Oct 8 2026 — Thomson and Latrobe River flood warnings FINAL, receding; a Severe Weather Warning for heavy rain over West and South Gippsland and the Otways, 60-90 mm, isolated 150 mm in the Otways, 40-60 mm in Gippsland; a Flood Watch and a marine wind warning through the weekend.
  6. 6CMA/NMC bulletin, read directly, 08:00 Oct 8 2026 — heavy to torrential rain over Hainan Oct 8-9, locally 250-270 mm in the centre and east of the island; rain over southern Sichuan and north-east Yunnan; the north China blue gale warnings easing.
  7. 7Catalan officials via RTVE, La Vanguardia and Libertad Digital, Oct 4-8 2026 (reported) — two dead (Tordera, Montornes); one person still missing at Pineda de Mar, the search suspended since Oct 4.
  8. 8DMC and SENAPRED via press, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — advisory A535 for electrical storms over 7 regions to Fri Oct 9, now inland and in the pre-cordillera; the Biobio tornadic-wind wording relaxed to storms, hail and gusts; SENAPRED yellow alert for the Metropolitan Region.
  9. 9Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation and the interior ministry via Reuters, France24 and Xinhua, Oct 7-8 2026 (reported) — 60 dead since Sep 16, as of 6 am Oct 7, Prachinburi hardest hit with 19; about 1.15 million households in 28 provinces still flooded; supersedes the earlier 31-dead count; relayed, not re-counted.
  10. 10GDACS SIMON-26, Orange, about 91,000 people exposed, Oct 8 2026 (aggregator, a lead only) — the only non-Green weather event on the board.
  11. 11IMD All-India Weather Forecast Bulletin, 07:55 IST Oct 8 2026, and the monsoon-withdrawal page — no low-pressure area or cyclone over the Bay of Bengal or the Arabian Sea; the withdrawal line unchanged (Supaul to Harnai); orange for Howrah, Hooghly and North and South 24 Parganas in South Bengal, yellow elsewhere, no red; north-east monsoon onset expected around the third week of October.
  12. 12INMET via press, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — yellow storm alerts across Parana, Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, the Sao Paulo coast and Rio de Janeiro; the western Parana red stood down.
  13. 13Italian Civil Protection (DPC) bulletin via meteo.it and MeteoWeb, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — orange alert for storms in Tuscany, some school and park closures; yellow in 11 regions (Abruzzo, Basilicata, Campania, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Lazio, Liguria, Lombardy, Marche, Molise, Puglia, Umbria); circulating 'red alert Liguria, Lombardy, Veneto' items date from October 2020 and are excluded.
  14. 14JTWC and JMA for Koguma (No. 29) via Zoom Earth and Marianas Variety, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — a tropical storm of about 100-102 km/h, about 520-530 km south-south-west of Wake Island, moving west-north-west; it did not reach typhoon strength on the Oct 8-10 schedule; rapid strengthening now expected around Oct 10-11 over open water well east of the Marianas; no land threat, no warnings for Guam or the Northern Marianas; classifications differ between relays.
  15. 15JTWC for Nolo via Zoom Earth, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — a subtropical storm of about 65 mph recurving north-east into shear toward extratropical transition over open water; Hawaii and Japan spared; a weak Fujiwhara interaction with Koguma in some guidance.
  16. 16Kenya Meteorological Department flash-flood warning via The Star and K24, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — flash-flood risk in Mandera, Wajir, Marsabit, Tana River and Kilifi, Oct 8-12, as the short rains begin. SoDMA via Hiiraan (reported) — 29 Somali districts on anticipatory alert; no onset flooding with casualties confirmed.
  17. 17MetService New Zealand, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — no orange or red warnings.
  18. 18Meteo-France vigilance via Franceinfo, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — yellow only: 13 departements for rain-flood (Ain, Ariege, Doubs, Drome, Haute-Garonne, Isere, Jura, Pyrenees-Atlantiques, Hautes-Pyrenees, Savoie, Haute-Savoie, Corse-du-Sud, Haute-Corse); the south-east orange lifted.
  19. 19NCHMF via VnExpress International and VietnamNet, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — heavy rain on Hue and Da Nang at or near its peak Oct 8-9, 150-350 mm, locally 500-600 mm; level-2 flash-flood and landslide warnings for Hue and Da Nang on ground already soaked (about 427 mm antecedent); a second pulse Oct 8-11; cold air, the ITCZ and easterlies, no storm in the East Sea; impacts not yet counted.
  20. 20NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook, 2 AM EDT Oct 8 2026 — no other tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico in the next 7 days.
  21. 21NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook, Oct 8 2026 — an area of low pressure south of Guatemala, 40 percent through 7 days.
  22. 22NHC Hurricane Isaias Advisory 6A, 0600 UTC Oct 8 2026 — Isaias became a hurricane at 0330 UTC Oct 8 on Hurricane Hunter data, 75 mph, 981 mb; forecast to strengthen to Category 2 (about 90 kt) before landfall on the central Gulf Coast.
  23. 23NHC Hurricane Isaias Public Advisory 7, 400 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2026 — near 23.3 N 91.2 W; maximum sustained 80 mph; 979 mb; moving east-north-east at 9 mph; Hurricane Warning Ocean Springs, MS to the Bay/Gulf County line, FL; Storm Surge Warning mouth of the Mississippi River to the Steinhatchee River, FL; Tropical Storm Warnings flanking (Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish line to west of Ocean Springs; east of the Bay/Gulf County line to the Aucilla River); Storm Surge Watch Steinhatchee River to Yankeetown; additional strengthening through early Friday, a strong hurricane near the northern Gulf Coast Friday night, landfall late Friday or early Saturday; surge 5-7 ft Ocean Springs to Indian Pass and Mobile Bay; rain 3-7 in, locally 10 in, far south-east Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle; isolated tornadoes Friday night and Saturday in parts of Alabama, Georgia and Florida.
  24. 24NHC Tropical Storm Rachel Public Advisory 45, 200 AM PDT Thu Oct 8 2026 — near 21.8 N 123.9 W, about 895 mi west of the southern tip of Baja California; 70 mph; 985 mb; moving west-north-west at 8 mph; a sharp turn north-east and faster motion after about 24 hours, gradual weakening; no coastal watches or warnings; swells building on the Southern California and northern Baja California coasts through the weekend, likely causing life-threatening surf and rip currents.
  25. 25NHC Tropical Storm Simon Public Advisory 4, 300 AM CST Thu Oct 8 2026 — near 15.4 N 103.1 W, about 190 mi south-south-west of Lazaro Cardenas and 260 mi south-south-east of Manzanillo; 50 mph; 1000 mb; moving west at 7 mph; Tropical Storm Watch Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo; rapid strengthening expected, likely a major hurricane by late Friday or early Saturday, approaching the south-west coast of Mexico Saturday; rain 8-12 in, isolated 15-25 in over Colima and Michoacan through Sunday, life-threatening flooding and mudslides.
  26. 26Not read this run — Central America's national boards were not refreshed; GDACS lists the region's flood entries as Green (aggregator, a lead only).
  27. 27Not read this run — nihsa.gov.ng under maintenance for a third day; advisories from the Federal Ministry of Environment and NEMA relayed by the press only.
  28. 28PAGASA, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — no tropical cyclone inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility; the monsoon in transition to the north-east.
  29. 29PMD via Dawn and 24NewsHD, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — dry and hot nationally on Oct 8; a second westerly wave from Oct 9 over upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, upper Punjab and Pothohar, Islamabad and Kashmir.
  30. 30PegelOnline (WSV) Kaub gauge, read directly, 09:15 CEST Oct 8 2026 — 0.0 cm, down from 3.0 cm; the record low was -6 cm on Oct 1.
  31. 31RSMC Nadi, BoM and Meteo-France La Reunion seasonal status, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — the South Pacific, Australian and South-West Indian Ocean cyclone seasons have not begun (Australian season from Nov 1); no tropical cyclone active.
  32. 32Royal Irrigation Department and ONWR via Khaosod English and Nation Thailand, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — the Chao Phraya Dam holding about 2,400 m3/s; Bangkok more than 1 m below critical; about 28 of 45 flood zones cleared; in the East, the Bang Pakong crested at a record 4.93 m against 4.82 m in 2013; about 1.61 million rai flooded; about 38 days to drain if no more rain falls.
  33. 33SAWS warnings via News24 and The Citizen, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — Yellow Level 2 for damaging winds on the KwaZulu-Natal coast; Yellow Level 1 for damaging waves on the Western and Northern Cape coasts to Thu Oct 8; de-escalating.
  34. 34SENAMHI via press, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — red-level heat for Lima and 19 regions, with extreme UV, through Fri Oct 9; extreme fire risk in 8 regions Oct 6-10.
  35. 35SMN alerts via La Nacion, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — orange for strong storms over Corrientes, Misiones, northern Santa Fe and Chaco, gusts above 90 km/h, hail, 40-100 mm, Corrientes the centre; yellow over Formosa, Santiago del Estero and Cordoba; the Cuyo snow and Zonda episode eased.
  36. 36Saudi NCM via Saudi Gazette and Gulf News, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — heavy rain, flash floods, hail, downdraft winds and near-zero visibility over Jazan, Asir, Al-Baha, the Makkah highlands and Madinah, the window extended through Fri Oct 9 to Sat Oct 10; localized red early warnings reported by the press are not confirmed on the live map and are not printed.
  37. 37Senegal government and ANACIM via Seneweb and Senego, Oct 5-7 2026 (reported) — weekend totals about 142 mm at Rufisque and Ranerou and about 138 mm at Dakar-Yoff in 24 hours; a 921-billion-FCFA flood-prevention programme announced (carried).
  38. 38Sri Lanka Department of Meteorology and NBRO via The Island, Oct 7-8 2026 (reported) — rain above 100 mm in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, Central, Uva and Southern provinces; NBRO red landslide warnings for Ududumbara, Nildandahinna and Walapane, amber across Kandy, Kegalle, Badulla, Matale and Ratnapura; the Oct 8 NBRO bulletin could not be re-read (portal 403).
  39. 39Thai Meteorological Department Warning No. 2 (248/2026), read directly, Oct 8 2026 — heavy to very heavy rain Oct 9-13 over the North, Central and East; Bangkok heaviest Oct 10-12; officials expect the spell to be lighter than late September's.
  40. 40UK Met Office warnings and Meteoalarm, Oct 8 2026 (reported) — no warnings for the United Kingdom; rain and wind arrive overnight into Oct 9.
  41. 41WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlooks, Oct 8 2026 — Day 1 Marginal over the Florida Peninsula and a small lower Texas coast area; Day 3 (Saturday) Moderate Risk over far southern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. SPC Day 1 Convective and Fire Weather Outlooks, Oct 8 2026 — no severe risk area, no tornado area drawn yet, no fire-weather category. NWS active alerts API, Oct 8 2026 — 405 alerts (179 land, 226 marine), up from 243.