THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY · EVENT← TODAY'S COVERThailand's flood crest has passed, the Chao Phraya keeps falling toward the Gulf, and Bangkok is holding. Upstream, the dam still releases its ceiling of about 2,500 m³/s, and the flow at Nakhon Sawan is trending down. But the next rain has arrived: a cool-air surge from China set off a flash-flood alert in Pattaya, and new alerts cover Chachoengsao and the Bang Pakong basin. (Handled with care.)
The authorities' count now stands at about 31 dead across 8 provinces, 4 of them in Bangkok, with more than 3.5 million people affected since mid-September. That count reaches further back than the about 24 dead and 2.93 million affected reported on Oct 1–2; it is relayed here, not re-counted.
Water from Nakhon Nayok and Prachin Buri is draining south into the east, and forecasters flag a heavier spell over the Central Plains and the north from Oct 10 to 14. For basin water managers, Bangkok drainage engineers and the operators of the eastern industrial estates, the call is how hard to drain the lower Plains toward the Gulf before it arrives.
28 turning points on record since Aug 21 — the 8 most recent shown.
Intensity is not exposure — Typhoon Choi-wan passes a small island chain at 945 hPa, while Thailand's rivers affect more than 3.5 million people..