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tropical

THE GULF OF MEXICO — AN 80% CHANCE OF A DEPRESSION

On the board · October 6, 2026 →
BUILDING · October 6, 2026 · NO. 1006
THE STORM

A low over the south-western Gulf now has an 80% chance of forming within two days, up from 50% within seven, and a depression is likely within a couple of days. The Atlantic still has no hurricane this year, two days from the latest first-hurricane date on record, Oct 8, 1905.

THE RECORD

32 turning points on record since Sep 13 — the 8 most recent shown.

Oct 6no-signal → building · intensified sharply
Oct 4↑ moved up the board
Oct 2↑ moved up the board
Oct 1easing → no-signal
Sep 30emerging → easing
Sep 29easing → emerging
Sep 27→ held
Sep 27→ held
WHO IT TOUCHES
Supply chainsThe Rhine refills slowly, and Thailand's eastern industrial estates face new alerts.
CONNECTED

Two oceans, opposite records — the Pacific carries four named storms, while the Atlantic has no hurricane two days from its record.

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