Tomorrow.ioTomorrow.ioTHE ATMOSPHERE TODAY · STORM
east

Hurricane Polo

ACTIVE · 2026 · EP172026
Hurricane — Category 3
BASINEast Pacific · EP17 (2026)
AS OFAdv 27 · Sun Sep 27, 09Z
MAX WINDS105 kt (120 mph)
GUSTS130 kt (150 mph)
PRESSURE952 mb
POSITION20.3°N, 113.6°W
MOVINGNNW at 9 kt (10 mph)
PEAK105 kt — at peak; weakening
COASTAL OUTLOOKMoves inland over the coast Wed as a weakening depression.
ADVISORY · NHCPAGE REFRESHED
THE STORM

Hurricane — Category 3 Polo is packing 105-kt (120-mph) winds, moving NNW at 9 kt (10 mph). Moves inland over the coast Wed as a weakening depression.

THE FORECAST · NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 113.6 West. Polo is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Monday. On the forecast track, Polo is expected to approach the west coast of Baja California Sur on Monday, move across the peninsula Monday night and then approach northwestern mainland Mexico by early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional weakening is expected during the next few days, but Polo is forecast to remain a hurricane when it approaches Baja California Sur on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend — National Hurricane Center · public advisory 27

OUR READ · TOMORROW.IO

Polo tracks over open water — no coast is in the outlook. Along its path, our forecast reads:

90 mph
peak wind gust · over water
THE PICTURE · EXPECTED WIND EXPOSURE

This is the East Pacific · 18°N–34°N, 116°W–104°W. Polo’s forecast track is the dotted spine — the labelled dots mark its position each day. Every cell is shaded by how many hours it spends inside Polo’s gale-force (≥34 kt · 39 mph) wind across the whole forecast, the damaging core counted double.

NOWCabo San LucasLa PazMazatlánPuerto VallartaManzanillo
COLOR · WIND EXPOSURE1–6 h6–12 h12–18 h18–24 h24+ h
OPACITY · CHANCE IT VERIFIESunlikely → likely

Read it two ways at once. Colour is the total — the hours of gale-force wind a place piles up. A slow storm writes its danger in duration, not in any single gust, so the longer the wind sits over a place, the deeper its colour. Opacity is confidence — solid where the official probability of that wind is high, faint where it is only a chance. So a deep, solid cell is a place the wind will work for a long time and likely will; a pale, faint one is a brief, uncertain brush at the edge of the cone.

WHAT THEY'RE SAYING

Observers tracking Hurricane Polo noted its approach toward Baja California Sur after turning northwest, with arrival expected on Monday, consistent with the official forecast. Early commentary highlighted the storm's strength and associated flooding risks, while later updates pointed to weakening yet still dangerous conditions from rain and flood threats. These observations underscore the evolving intensity alongside the consistent timing and hazard concerns.

MVMax Velocity@MaxVelocityWXexplainerSep 26Polo weakens to Category 4 but remains dangerous as it nears Baja California Sur with rain and flood threats.
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NP@NHC_PacificSep 26Forecasters are tracking Hurricane Polo as it nears Baja California Sur on Monday.
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BR@BrzzyWeatherSep 26Hurricane Polo is turning northwest and expected to reach Baja California Sur on Monday.
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MVMax Velocity@MaxVelocityWXexplainerSep 25Hurricane Polo is a strong Category 5 storm approaching Baja California Sur with flooding risks.
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newest first · every line is our own summary of a post, not the poster's words — open the post to read it as written.

our sounder pass over the storm