Tropical Storm Gonzalo

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is packing 35-kt (40-mph) winds, moving NNW at 6 kt (7 mph). Expected to stay over open water.

At 800 PM CVT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 23.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue through the weekend, with a slow down and turn to the west-northwest expected by early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate over eastern Subtropical Atlantic by the early to mid portion of next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).— National Hurricane Center · public advisory 8

This is the Atlantic · 17°N–25°N, 28°W–21°W. Gonzalo’s forecast track is the dotted spine — the labelled dots mark its position each day. Every cell is shaded by how many hours it spends inside Gonzalo’s gale-force (≥34 kt · 39 mph) wind across the whole forecast, the damaging core counted double.

Read it two ways at once. Colour is the total — the hours of gale-force wind a place piles up. A slow storm writes its danger in duration, not in any single gust, so the longer the wind sits over a place, the deeper its colour. Opacity is confidence — solid where the official probability of that wind is high, faint where it is only a chance. So a deep, solid cell is a place the wind will work for a long time and likely will; a pale, faint one is a brief, uncertain brush at the edge of the cone.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is passing the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 45 to 50 miles per hour and is forecast to weaken and dissipate soon, leaving the Atlantic free of hurricanes. Several observers noted that the storm formed recently but would not last, which matches the official forecast of quick weakening and no active systems. One early comment went further by suggesting the basin would stay quiet for the rest of the season, a point that goes beyond the current official outlook.

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