Sourced numbers convert at build, to the same rounding the
issuing agency publishes. Translation is machine-assisted; every measurement is
carried across unchanged.
tropical
NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH + SOUTH ODISHA — A DEEP DEPRESSION COMES ASHORE TONIGHT
The coast, the night and the districts were named two days ahead, and tonight is the night. A deep depression sits near 18.0 N 84.7 E this morning, about 150 km south of Gopalpur and 150 km east-north-east of Visakhapatnam, moving at about 8 km/h. Forecasters expect it to cross the coast between Visakhapatnam and Gopalpur tonight, carrying 55 to 65 km/h gusting 75, then slow near the shore and turn north-north-west toward Chhattisgarh. It is not forecast to reach cyclone strength, and the name some outlets have attached to it is not an official one.
The wind is not the number to watch. The rain is. Red warnings, more than 20 cm, cover Koraput, Gajapati and Ganjam through Thursday, then shift west to Kalahandi, Nabarangpur and Malkangiri into Friday: hill districts of the Eastern Ghats, where the rain runs off fast. Across the border, six Andhra districts from Visakhapatnam to Parvathipuram Manyam carry a red warning for flash floods. The cross-agency exposure board puts about 8.0 million people inside tropical-storm-force winds, none inside anything stronger. That sizes the rain-and-wind footprint, not a hurricane.
The coast has already acted. Schools are shut in seven Odisha districts and six in Andhra Pradesh, 33 state disaster-response teams are deployed, and Bangladesh's ports keep a local warning signal No. 3. Tonight, district officers open shelters, railway controllers decide which trains to hold, and grid crews stage for the night crossing. No casualties had been reported when this page was compiled. That is a fact about this morning, not a promise about tomorrow: the red rain runs through Friday. (Handled with care.)
THE RECORD
34 turning points on record since Jul 18 — the 8 most recent shown.
Sep 23building → peak
Sep 22reclassified water → tropical · easing → building · intensified sharply
Sep 21▽ slipped down the board
Sep 19↑ moved up the board
Sep 18↑ moved up the board
Sep 17▽ became confirmed
Sep 16building → easing
Sep 15easing → building
THE FACTS
A NIGHT CROSSING, NAMED TWO DAYS OUTThe coast (Visakhapatnam to Gopalpur), the night (Sep 23) and the red districts were all forecast while the system was still a low. This morning it is a deep depression at the forecast position, on the forecast schedule.
THE RAIN IS THE HAZARD, NOT THE WINDThe winds top out at 55-65 km/h gusting 75, but the red warnings are for more than 20 cm of rain on the steep Eastern Ghats districts, and for flash floods across northern Andhra Pradesh.
EIGHT MILLION INSIDE TROPICAL-STORM WINDS, NONE INSIDE STRONGERThe cross-agency exposure board sizes about 8.0 million people inside tropical-storm-force winds and zero inside Category-1-or-stronger winds. The board is read here as a lead, and the figure sizes the footprint, not the storm's strength.
AND ELSEWHERE — AN 892-MB HURRICANE SENDS ITS RAIN ASHORE IN MEXICOPolo peaked at 180 mph and 892 mb on Tuesday and holds 155 mph this morning about 185 miles south of Zihuatanejo, core offshore. Its outer bands are on the coast: 3 to 6 inches, isolated 8, over Guerrero and Michoacan under a tropical storm warning, with ports closed and no deaths reported.
AND ELSEWHERE — HAWAII HAS TWO DAYSA depression 405 miles south-south-east of Hilo is forecast to become a hurricane and approach the Big Island on Friday, with a watch likely today and possible catastrophic flooding and mudslides in eastern Hawaii.
WHO IT TOUCHES
Public safetyA night landfall with red rain, a hurricane's rain on a populated coast, a two-day hurricane lead for Hawaii, and a moderate flood day.
Maritime & portsPorts closed in Guerrero and Michoacan, a signal No. 3 on Bangladesh's coast, a Bay crossing, and the Rhine at 11 cm.
AviationA Friday hurricane approach for Hawaii, rainbands on Mexico's Pacific coast, and afternoon flash-flood storms over New Mexico.
Supply chainsEast-coast Indian rail and road holds through a night crossing, Mexican Pacific ports closed, and a low Rhine.
Energy & utilitiesGrid crews staged for a Bay crossing, 45,000 Chiba households dark, and a Friday hurricane lead for Hawaii's island grid.
AgricultureRed rain onto south Odisha's kharif fields, a Chilean foothill deluge, and Nigeria's riverine flood window.
Health systemsLandslide casualties in Japan, a night landfall in India, and a season-long flood burden in Guatemala.
CONNECTED
The weakest storm on the board carries the most people — the Bay depression, at 75 km/hgusts, puts about 8.0 million people inside tropical-storm-force winds as it crosses tonight, while Polo, at 892 mb the most intense reading on the board, carries zero people inside Category-1 winds on land because its core stays offshore.
The soil decides the toll — in eastern Japan the storm's wind left and its rain stayed, and 9 people died, mostly in landslides, after 832 mm in 48 hours.
WHAT THEY'RE SAYING
Forecasters expect a deep depression over the Bay of Bengal to come ashore tonight between Visakhapatnam and Gopalpur, crossing into north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha with heavy rain and strong winds. All outlooks agree on this path and the overnight timing of landfall, reinforcing the official forecast without any noted differences in expected impacts.
GR@grokSep 22Forecasters expect a deep depression to reach the coast between Visakhapatnam and Gopalpur tonight with heavy rain and strong winds. Open on X →
XP@XpressOdishaSep 22A depression over the Bay of Bengal is forecast to cross the north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coast overnight as a deep depression. Open on X →
newest first · every line is our own summary of a post, not the poster's words — open the post to read it as written.
THE ATMOSPHERE TODAY · EVENT← TODAY'S COVER