The season pivots on one hinge. Conditions are becoming favourable for withdrawal from about Sep 19 over parts of West Rajasthan, against a seasonal deficit of about 15 percent — and in the same bulletin a final flurry puts heavy 64.5 to 115.5 mm and very heavy 115.6 to 204.4 mm rain over the next three days across west Madhya Pradesh, west Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, east Rajasthan, Uttarakhand and Himachal, with very heavy 11 to 20 cm already recorded at isolated districts of Gujarat and Saurashtra. For a Delhi commuter and a Rajasthan farmer the same bulletin means brace and it is ending.
THE RECORD
30 turning points on record since Jul 18 — the 8 most recent shown.
Sep 18↑ moved up the board
Sep 17▽ became confirmed
Sep 16building → easing
Sep 15easing → building
Sep 13cresting → easing · eased sharply
Sep 12active → cresting
Sep 11↑ firmed
Sep 8easing → active
WHO IT TOUCHES
Agriculturea monsoon retreating over one Indian state while it soaks six others, hail over the central Plains, and a 108 °F field-work ceiling