The south-Dalmatian coast — a heat peak Sunday, then a wet window that re-firmed

A three-part sequence on one coast, and the middle part reversed twice. Heat peaks about Sep 20: Korcula 33.9 °C, the Stari Grad ferry port on Hvar 32.9 °C with an apparent 34.1, the Neretva and its delta 31.0 to 31.5 °C about Sep 21. Behind it a wet window on Sep 20 and 21 whose probability has rebounded to 71 to 96 percent — 96 at Supetar on Brac and on the coast road between Makarska and Dubrovnik — after softening to 20 to 35 percent in the previous read. Then a coastal wind and bura pulse about Sep 21, near 11 m/s at the Sveti Rok tunnel. No official colour warning stands over Croatia today; this is a forecast signal, flagged so a swing that large is not dismissed as noise.

7 turning points on record since Sep 8.

Europe's official side cleared while its forecast side re-armed, a few hundred kilometres apart.