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DESK

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Sep 18, 2026 · NO. 0918
THE READ — what this desk must decide today

a holiday rail and port weekend in Japan, a dated release on an African waterway, a flooding logistics region in Vietnam, and a river that is still too low to load

Too much water in four places, not enough in one, and only two of them come with a date. Japan is the week's sequencing problem: rain into eastern Japan from today, worst Sep 18–19, on ground reported at about 365 percent of normal, putting Shinkansen and commuter-rail suspension planning, Tokyo-Bay and Izu ferry and port-call sequencing and slope and drainage watch onto a holiday weekend when the network is at its busiest. Southern Vietnam takes 150 to 300 mm over five days from today across the country's main logistics region, with 10 to 20 cm expected in Ho Chi Minh City and pumps reinforced. Nigeria's Benue corridor carries rain flooding plus a regulated release on its scheduled day two, which puts crossings and inland-waterway movements on a known seven-day ramp instead of a surprise. The Palawan low is an inter-island question across the Visayas. And against all of it the Rhine at Kaub reads 24.0 cm and flat — still constraining barge loading, still refusing to give a planner a date. Buy schedule buffer for the weekend or hold capacity for the Japanese holiday: that is the trade.

THE DRIVERS 1–12h — what is driving this desk today
Severe Tropical Storm Dujuan — large, and starting to arriveCRESTING→Southern Vietnam — the five-day spell began todayACTIVE→The Benue confluence — day two of a published rampBUILDING→The Palawan low that will not move onACTIVE→The Rhine at Kaub — the gauge stopped fallingACTIVE→The Chinese south-west and north-west — carried, agingACTIVE→
THE RECORD past — how exposed this desk has run

carried on 41 of the last 64 editions — since Jul 5, the 10 most recent shown.

Sep 18large · the five-day spell began today · day two of a published ramp
Sep 17named · the scheduled release begins today · Hanoi flooded overnight
Sep 16a scheduled release · the flood that moved north and the… · hourly totals on steep
Sep 15THE FLOOD TOLD TO TAPER TODAY EXPA… · KAUB BLIPPED TO ABOUT 36 CM MONDAY… · A LAST HOT PULSE CRESTS ON THE SOU…
Sep 1325.0 CM · THE EXCESSIVE-RAIN OUTLOOK CASHED … · A FIVE-DAY SPELL ARRIVES ON CUE OV…
Sep 12THE DEADLY OUTBREAK HAS PASSED SOU… · BACK DOWN TO 21.0 CM · THE OUTER ISLANDS TAKE THEIR LAST …
Sep 1123.0 CM · AN ORANGE-TIER OUTBREAK ON THE TRO… · AN EXCESSIVE-RAIN SLIGHT THAT RODE…
Sep 828.0 CM · A CATEGORY-2 LOWELL AT CLOSEST APP… · A CREST AT KOTRI
Aug 28A DOUBLE LANDFALL IN ZHEJIANG · A RECORD FLOOD DRAINING · KAUB STOPPED FALLING AT 60 CM
Aug 27LANDFALL SLIPPED TO FRIDAY MORNING… · THE RECORD FLOOD BEHIND NARRA IS R… · TWO LANDFALLS DONE