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Two belts, cell by cell.

The US corn and soybean belts read at the grid, not the headline — growing-degree-days, soil-water anomaly, and heat stress, frozen once a day from public reanalysis. Where the edge is real and sourced, a call. Where it isn't, that's shown too — a prediction is only worth what it was worth before the outcome.

Belts
2
Cells
127
Frozen
2026-07-07
US Corn Belt

Silking window ahead — the July heat/water pivot that sets ear count

US CORN BELT
60 cells · frozen 2026-07-07
Soil-water anomaly σ · drier → wetter
drierwetter
Stage
Vegetative (V6–V10)
GDD to date M
671 · 18% decided
Soil water M
-0.06σ vs 1991–2020
Heat banked M
29 °C-days ≥29°C
Yield read
176.1 bu/ac M
band 152–200 · ±13.1%
Consensus
186.5 bu/ac X
CallSUPPRESSEDModel−market gap -10.4 bu/ac is inside the noise band — logged, not called.
US Soybean Belt

Seed-fill (R5) window ahead — August's water-sensitivity cliff

US SOYBEAN BELT
67 cells · frozen 2026-07-07
Soil-water anomaly σ · drier → wetter
drierwetter
Stage
Vegetative (V3–V6)
GDD to date M
569 · 18% decided
Soil water M
+0.38σ vs 1991–2020
Heat banked M
18 °C-days ≥29°C
Yield read
—
no sourced trend-yield baseline yet
Consensus
unsourced X
CallSUPPRESSEDNo sourced trend-yield baseline yet — there's no read to price against a consensus.